TOTAL CHANGE—From your purchase amount
REAL DATA. MANY POSSIBLE FUTURES.A little history.
A little history.
A clearer horizon.
Your home’s story, through the lens of its market.
Explore what happened. Simulate what could come next.
A HOME IN LAWRENCE, KS
$—SIMULATED MEDIAN
Opening a window into the possibilities…
LOWER SCENARIO · P10$—
80% of simulated paths
UPPER SCENARIO · P90$—
Exploring possible futures
Published observations end at the solid line.
An area-index scenario, not a valuation of a specific property. Simulated ranges depend on historical patterns and model choices.
ANNUALIZED GROWTH—Median scenario · nominal
ABOVE PURCHASE—Share of simulated paths
THE SHAPE OF POSSIBILITY
2036 Q2One date. Thousands of outcomes.
Each bar groups simulated ending values. The line marks the median.
Yesterday informs.
It doesn’t promise.
The model draws from actual quarterly changes in the selected market. It gives recent history more weight while retaining earlier cycles.
—quarterly observations
5,000simulated futures
GOOD CHARTS SHOULD TRAVEL
Your website. These possibilities.
Embed a market explorer or connect an AI agent to the same calculation engine.
Sources, assumptions & accessible data
Source: FHFA HPI®, quarterly all-transactions, not seasonally adjusted, nominal. Includes sales and refinance appraisals. Values can be revised. HomePriceGraph is independent of FHFA.
The first chart point equals your purchase amount. Historical values follow the market’s index ratio. Future bands use a recency-weighted, season-matched block bootstrap. Individual property risk, renovations, taxes, borrowing costs and selling expenses are outside this model.
| Quarter | Historical | P10 | Median | P90 |
|---|